“ We are too big, too important to raft ”: Icrier says that 70% of India exports face the heat of Trump

With almost 70% of India’s exports to which the prices of 50% of Donald Trump were announced by Donald Trump, an economic reflection group urged the government to adopt a double strategy – offering targeted support to the vulnerable sectors such as textiles and gems, and re -enter the United States through “intelligent and tactical” negotiations that approach the agricultural differences long.

In an article written by economists Ashok Gulati, Sulakshana Rao and Tanay Sunntwal, Icrier said that the United States remained “too large and too important to raft” while India pursues trade agreements with the United Kingdom and the EU. The authors have argued that future trade should be focused on solving agricultural problems, in particular American demands on genetically modified products (GM), based on scientific evidence rather than ideology.

The report proposed to authorize GM corn for ethanol mixture or poultry foods, noting that, although imports of GM soybeans are barred in the form of seeds, imports into India for soybean oil. He has also recommended high rights reductions in non-sensitive agricultural imports with low domestic production, such as nuts (currently at 120%), cranberries, blueberries and breakfast cereals.

For dairy products, economists have suggested a rate rate quota, allowing imports limited to lower rights while retaining prohibitive prices higher than this threshold. They also launched a certification system – similar to Halal – to ensure that cattle are not fed or without pasture.

Beyond agriculture, the newspaper warned that textiles and clothes are faced with a “tariff gap” with competitors who may cost orders from India unless subsidies, discounts or other incentives are offered. Gems, jewelry, plant -based products, nutraceuticals and shrimp exports have also been identified as high -risk categories, with shrimp producers in Andhra Pradesh, Western Bengal and Odisha, particularly exposed in the short term.

While agricultural exports can undergo lower overall losses, semi-millé rice could lose ground against Thailand and Pakistan. The authors argued that, rather than counting on protectionist prices, India should treat the current tariff crisis as a reform opportunity: modernizing infrastructure, investing in R&D and improving the efficiency of the supply chain “at the scale of liberalization of 1991”.

Trump prices most affected by Trump prices

Textiles and clothes
Faced with more than 30% tariff difference compared to Bangladesh, Pakistan, Vietnam – the position of the key market in danger.

Gems and jewelry
With 50% of prices, the industry warned that it could “stop very soon”.

Car parts, agriculture, shrimp
Expect export losses, job cuts and order changes in these sectors.

Shrimp producers
Andhra Pradesh, Western Bengal, Odisha has exposed high value and losses of market share.

3 icing points strategy

Smart us re-engagement
Push for scientific conferences on GM crops, ethanol corn, dairy quotas and access to the fair market.

Targeted relief
Provide subsidized subsidies, discounts or incentives to the harshest sectors such as textiles and gems.

Diversification of exports
Reduce American dependence – Accelerate FTA with the EU, the United Kingdom, the CPTP; Develop trade with Africa, Asean.

Policy correction and Outlook impact

• Obligious bars prices on low -risk imports such as nuts, berries, cereals.
• Go from protectionism to productivity: invest in R&D, logistics and regulatory reforms.
• Economic damage is not at the system level but deeply concentrated in the heavy export sectors of work.