IPL Playoffs scenarios: with 14 games to go, RCB has 98.2% chance of progressing – the chances for each team explained | Cricket news
New Delhi: With 14 games to play in the League, Chennai Super Kings, the Royals Rajasthan and Sunrisers Hyderabad are already out of disappearance for the playoffs. Riyal Challengers Bengaluru, Punjab Kings And Gujarat titans are almost sure to make the scene with direct elimination, but the Indians of Mumbai and the capitals of Delhi still have a chance while Lucknow super-managers are likely to Kolkata Knight Riders. There are 16,384 possible combinations of results, so nothing is certainly for one of the remaining seven in the race. We look at the probabilities:
| Team | Best scenario | Worse scenario | Chances (%) manufacturing or link for the top 4 | Chances (%) manufacturing or link for the top 2 |
| RCB | Solet Topper with 22 pts. Can occur if they win the remaining matches and GT loses at least one | Finish 6th. Can happen if they lose all their remaining games | 98.2 | 76.0 |
| GT | Solet Topper with 22 pts. Can occur if they win their remaining matches and the RCB loses one or more | Finish 6th Losing all the remaining games | 98.4 | 74.6 |
| Bks | Solet Topper with 21 pts. Can occur if they win the remaining matches and that RCB and GT lose at least one | Finish 7th Losing all the remaining games | 89.9 | 44.5 |
| MID | Solet Topper with 18 pts. Can occur if they have a remaining game, RCB and GT lose their remaining matches and PBKS lose two | Finish 7th Losing all the remaining games | 58.5 | 15.8 |
| Dc | Solet Topper with 19 pts. Can occur if they win remaining, RCB, GT and PBKS lose two each and MI loses a | Finish 7th Losing all the remaining games | 57.2 | 14.8 |
| Kkr | Finish for first place with pbks and DC on 17. Can occur if they gain remaining, RCB and GT lose theirs, pbks lose two, dc and mi lose everyone each | Finish joint 8th Losing all the remaining games | 14.8 | 1.1 |
| Lsg | Finished 2ND On 16 pts with RCB, Mi and GT. Can occur if they win remaining, RCB and GT lose all theirs, Mi loses two and either pbks also loses all their matches or DC does not win more than one | Finish 8th Losing all the remaining games | 7.9 | 0.1 |
How we come to the probabilities:There are 16,384 possible combinations of remaining results with 14 games to do. For each team, we have examined how many of them end up with the first four or equally or equal. We also examined how many combinations have placed each team in the first two individually or jointly.
For example, RCB ends among the first four in 16,092 of the possible combinations of match results, resulting in a chance of 98.2%. In 12,452 of them, they find themselves first or second, individually or jointly, resulting in a chance of 76%.
