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Investors bet the fragile ceasefire would hold

US President Donald Trump talks to journalists from the Israeli-Iranian conflict, aboard the Air Force One on June 24, 2025, while traveling to attend the top of the heads of state and the NATO government in The Hague in the Netherlands.

Brendan Smialowski | AFP | Getty images

The ceasefire between Israel and Iran seems to hold. In yesterday’s bulletin, we explained how a blitzkrieg of diplomacy led by missiles seemed to help defuse tensions.

The reverse of this strange path to a truce is that the missiles, well, are fundamentally weapons. Only a few hours after the two countries accepted the ceasefire, Israel said that his longtime rival had pulled missiles on his borders – an accusation that Tehran denied – and was preparing to “respond with force”. Probably with more missiles.

President Donald Trump – who has negotiated the ceasefire with the Emir Sheikh Tamim of Qatar, Bin Hamad Al Thani – expressed his frustration with regard to these developments.

“I am not satisfied with them either.

His warnings seemed to work. There is now a fragile armistice between the two countries.

Oil prices have dropped and American actions have jumped.

Reuters downloaded a photo of Israeli residents playing Frisbee at the beach on June 24. The flights of Israeli Ben -Berion airport resume, and Iranian airspace is partially open, according to the Flightradar24 flight surveillance company, CNBC said around 3 am.

Three hours after this update, NBC News, citing three people familiar with the case, reported that an initial assessment of the US Defense Intelligence Agency found American strikes on Iranian nuclear sites on Saturday Left “basic parts … always intact.”

And that’s fine.

What you need to know today

The ceasefire of Israel-Iran is detained for the moment
The fragile ceasefire between Israel and Iran, announced by Trump on Monday, seems to be holding. Israel said on Tuesday that he would honor the ceasefire until Iran would do the same. Earlier in the day, the two countries accused each other of having violated the truce and said they were ready to retaliate, which prompted Trump to say that he was not happy with them. Stay up to date on the Israel-Iran conflict with the Live Blog from CNBC here.

The markets jump as merchants are betting on the truce
American actions jumped on the expectations on Tuesday the cease-fire Israel-Iran would hold. THE S&P 500 won 1.11% to say it Only 0.9% of its 52 -week high. THE Industrial average Dow Jones added 1.19% and the Nasdaq Composite climbed by 1.43%. THE Nasdaq-100 increased by 1.53% to close to a record level. Europe Stoxx 600 Pink 1.11%. Travel stocks were among the best performers, while petroleum and gas stocks dropped the most.

Oil prices have dropped for a second day
Oil prices fell on Tuesday, its second day of decline, such as market bet that the risk of major supply disruption had faded. US crude oil moved to $ 64.37 per barrel while the Brent World reference dropped by $ 67.14 during US trade. Prices ended 7% down on Monday. Earlier Tuesday, Trump said that China can continue to buy Iran oil in what seemed to be a sign that the United States could soften its pressure campaign against Tehran.

Powell says Fed is “well placed to wait”
During a hearing of the US Congress on Tuesday, the president of the federal reserve Jerome Powell said that the economy was still strong. But he noted that inflation is still greater than the target of the central bank by 2%, and the Fed has an “obligation” to prevent prices from becoming “an in progress problem”. In combination, these considerations mean that the Fed “well placed to wait” before making a decision on interest rates.

The United States is attached to NATO: the secretary general
There is “a total commitment from the American president and the US NATO management,” the secretary general of the military alliance, the secretary general of the Military Alliance, the Netherlands, the summit. But America expects Europe and Canada to spend as much as the United States for Defense. Before the summit, the members agreed to increase defense expenses to 5% of the gross domestic product by 2035.

[PRO] Not “bullish enough” on the rally: hsbc
The S&P 500 rallying rally on its lower April brought it back to around 1% discount on its record in a very short time. It is an advance that has perplex many investors, who fear that another decline will be on the horizon. But Max Kettner, multi-active chief strategist at HSBC, said that he was not “optimistic enough” on the current rally.

And finally …

Photos from the semi-official Tasnim news agency show that the STENA Impero is seized and detained between July 19 and July 21, 2019 near the Strait of Hormuz, Iran.

Contributor | Getty Images News | Getty images

Strait of Hormuz GPS Bouning remains a major security problem, said the CEO of Tanker

Despite a provisional ceasefire between Israel and Iran on Tuesday, security problems in the Hormuz Strait are continuing for shipowners.

According to Angeliki Frangou, a shipowner and president and chief executive officer of the fourth generation of maritime partners, based in Greece, which has and operates dry cargo cargors and oil tankers, ships in the Hormuz strait are still threatened by the continuous blocking of GPS signals.

“We had around 20% less ships in the Hormuz Strait, and ships are waiting outside,” FRANGOU told CNBC.

“You hear a lot of the lining [ocean shipping] Companies they only pass on during the day due to the scrambling of GPS signals from ships. They don’t want to spend during the night because they find it dangerous. It is therefore a very fluid situation, “said Frangou.

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